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Besser Spät Als Niemals

Last rocketeers set sights on Mars

To this new generation, the German rocketeers are an inspiration. For the rocketeers, the techies are reviving their dearest hope: that man will go to Mars.

“If private industry takes tourists into space, it might uplift the whole program again,” says Konrad Dannenberg, 92, a propulsion expert on Apollo. “I’m very hopeful.”

Ernst Stuhlinger, 92, who was von Braun’s right-hand man, twinkles when asked about the new generation’s dreams of Mars flights. “We old-timers have been thinking that way for a very long time.”

As It Should Be

It took the Trek mythos what, ten years to cough up its first film? Looks like Babylon 5 will make it to the big screen in seven.

[via Mark Whittington]

UPDATE: More at the all-knowing Lurker’s Guide.

The Prophecy of Tiresias

I had hoped, when I saw this, that it might be an adaptation of Bill Hartmann’s novel by the same name.

It most emphatically isn’t. The description has to be read to be believed — it would be a crime to quote only a part of it.

(Speaking of Zubrin and adaptations, whatever happened to Sam Burbank’s feature film of First Landing?)

No Robots for Hubble?

The National Academy of Science is recommending a Shuttle servicing mission to Hubble over the proposed robotic mission:

In a final report released today, ?Assessment of Options for Extending the Life of the Hubble Space Telescope?, the committee concluded that a shuttle mission is the ?best option? for extending the life of Hubble and preparing the telescope for eventual robotic de-orbit…

?The committee recommends that NASA pursue a shuttle servicing mission to HST that would accomplish the above stated goal. Strong consideration should be given to flying this mission as early as possible after return to flight,? the report states…

“We fully recognize that the International Space Station is a very high priority after return to flight,” said committee member Richard Truly, a retired U.S. Navy Vice Admiral and director of the National Renewable Energy Laboratory in Golden, Colorado. “After seven or eight flights, the technical configuration of the space station will be at a point that we concluded you could insert a Hubble flight.”

The final report also rebutted O?Keefe?s objections to shuttle servicing as too risky, saying ?the difference between the risk faced by the crew of a single shuttle mission to the ISS — already accepted by NASA and the nation –and the risk faced by the crew of a shuttle mission to HST, is very small. Given the intrinsic value of a serviced Hubble, and the high likelihood of success for a shuttle servicing mission, the committee judges that such a mission is worth the risk.?…

In the panel?s final analysis, a robotic mission is seen as just too risky given the state of technology and the time available to design, build and test the robotic craft…

Estimates for the mission ran as high as $2.4 billion, although NASA officials have said they think the job could be done for closer to $1.5 billion.

?The very aggressive schedule, the complexity of the mission design, the current low level of technology maturity, and the inability of a robotics mission to respond to unforeseen failures that may well occur on Hubble between now and the mission make it highly unlikely that the science life of HST will be extended through robotic servicing.?

As I said before, developing robotic service capability would be a plus due to its commercial potential. However, it appears that it just isn’t going to happen in the time available or with the resources NASA is willing to spend on the project.

(On the other hand, just because NASA doesn’t seem likely to be able to do it, doesn’t mean someone else, already well along by the looks of things, couldn’t do it instead.)

Une Petite ?tape Pour la Eurocratie

You know, it’s a tired old joke to describe European policymaking by stringing together a list of diplomacy-related synonyms for “talk”, but this press release from ESA on last week’s Space Council discussions reads like that:

The first ever European ‘Space Council’ was held in Brussels today. This is a major political milestone for Europe in Space, offering ministers representing the 27 European Union (EU) and/or European Space Agency (ESA) Member States the first opportunity to jointly discuss the development of a coherent overall European space programme…In today’s meeting ministers recognised that it is essential to utilise the available resources in an efficient and effective way so that the supply of space-based services and infrastructures can meet the demand from users, such as the European Union’s policies, Member States’ policies and for the benefit of all European citizens. The ministers also agreed that the unique nature of the space sector requires the development of an appropriate industrial policy and public authorities close attention…The European space programme, to be defined in concept by the end of 2005, will constitute a common, inclusive and flexible platform encompassing all activities and measures to be undertaken by the EC, ESA and other stakeholders (e.g. national organisations) in order to achieve the objectives set in the overall European space policy. To this end, a second “Space Council” meeting is planned for Spring 2005 to define general governance principles, identify priorities as well as the roles and responsibilities of all stakeholders and establish industrial policy principles.

One more reason to think twice about international cooperation.

Not So Hot On Cooperation

While ISRO is off with ESA making noises about blocking property rights on the Moon in favor of a collective, multilateral approach, the Times of India is expressing something less than enthusiasm about cooperation on space projects:

If one were to examine the vagaries of joint ventures in space, look no further than the ISS itself. This white elephant is the largest orbital programme ever undertaken on the basis of international cooperation…All areas of development, including vital applications like maintaining food supplies and even processing its air, are in a shambles. Compare that with its successful predecessor, the Mir Space Station. Constructed and launched by a declining Soviet Union, it floated flawlessly in orbit for a decade-and-a-half from 1986 to 2001…

The author makes a valid point — sometimes, it’s just easier to do something yourself than make the compromises necessary to work with others. But then he veers off into the wrong reason for doing so:

Similarly, India’s forthcoming moon venture, or any other space agenda, should be indigenously planned, programmed and executed. That’s because nothing builds a nation or binds its people better than the realisation that it’s being perceived as a leading player in a keenly-contested domain…The founder of ISRO, Vikram Sarabhai’s motto used to be ‘self-reliance in space technology’. It should continue to be ours as well.

Sounds like a recipe for flags and footprints, with a curry base.

Dusting Off the Moon Treaty

Now that the US has decided on a return to the Moon, and private industry is primed to make it a permanent return, the internationalist crowd is looking to strangle the effort in the crib:

The statement-the Udaipur declaration – also has asked nations to commit themselves to treating the moon as a “common heritage of mankind”.

Uh-oh…here we go again.

The conference on the exploration and utilisation of the moon, organised by the Indian Space Research Organisation (ISRO), the European space agency (ESA) [quelle surprise] and the International Lunar Exploration Working Group (ILEWG) have made an open request from space agencies to coordinate with each other in building lunar assents and infrastructure such as telecom systems including lunar Internet-and navigation systems.

Some scientists are concerned that given the fresh impetus to lunar missions and are likely rewards, human bases may also give way to claims of ownership to chunks of lunar real estate.

Heaven forbid someone claim property rights and actually make a buck or something dirty like that.

One suggestion was that any permanent base should have personnel from different countries, he said.

Is it just me, or does that sound like some kind of shakedown?

The Moon Treaty codified in December 1979 says the moon and its re-sources are the common heritage of mankind, no part of it can be claimed by government, NGO’s or by individuals. However, some private organisations have been offering real estate on the moon.

The article (conveniently) neglects to mention that — thank goodness — the U.S. is not a signatory to that abomination.

Space scientists have cautioned that the rush to the moon has created a need for collaboration to avoid duplication efforts.

Because, you know, free market competition is so wasteful and inefficient when compared to central planning.

The Traditional Isolationism Taken to a New Level

Alan Caruba at CNS is the latest conservative to take a swipe at the VSE: The Moon? Mars? Forget About It!

As entertainment, I have always particularly enjoyed any television show or movie about space travel. There’s something compelling about a group of people dependent on a space ship to carry them to or from danger. It is, as any “Star Trek” fan will tell you, “the final frontier.”

It is also largely absurd, particularly when it involves billions of dollars this nation can ill afford to throw at a space program that robots could perform better than people.

As entertainment, I have always particularly enjoyed a thoughtful argument about space exploration. Sadly, Caruba fails to deliver. At least we get the robots-not-humans bit out of the way up front, along with the tired whine about the billions of dollars being wasted. Being a conservative, he doesn’t go so far as to say it would be better spent “right here on Earth” on the bloated social programs which have already hoovered up several trillion dollars in the decades since Sputnik — he presumably expects the money saved by cutting the VSE would magically boomerang back to the taxpayers’ pockets, unmolested by other federal spending desires, but on this the liberal vision is probably closer to the truth.

Why didn’t we return to the Moon? Why aren’t there huge space stations? As Tucker points out, the experiments on the long-term effects of life in zero gravity demonstrate that humans do not belong in space.

“The news has not been good. Muscles atrophy quickly and — for reasons yet unknown — the human body does not manufacture bone tissue in space.” Moreover, the Moon “is barren oxygen-less desert.” Want to see a desert? We have them right here on Earth.

Two words: osteoporosis and borax.

There is some thought that studying the effects of weightlessness on bone and muscle health could lead to treatments for osteoporosis, among other things. Identifying an obstacle and working to overcome it is one way technology progresses. Besides, last I knew, there was gravity on the Moon — and we still don’t seem to know what the health effects of long-term exposure to partial gravity are, not well enough to say that it is an insurmountable obstacle to long-term human presence there.

Death Valley is one of the most barren, hostile deserts on Earth…and yet, there is something of value even there. We wouldn’t go to the Moon to “see a desert”, anyway, but to find out what is there. Like borax in Death Valley, there could be resources which we could profitably extract and use elsewhere, or which we could use in place to create an extension of terrestrial civilization.

One could just as easily have said, in the 1500s, that the health and safety risks of long sea voyages and the fact that the destination was a vast wilderness made the New World not worth the trouble or expense of exploring.

Much of what is required to launch and maintain those machines we send into Earth orbit can be and is done without using space shuttles. They have become the equivalent of trolley cars. Trolleys are useful on the sharp inclines of San Francisco streets and picturesque in New Orleans. I’ve been on both. They’re slow, and most people still drive their own cars around these cities.

Note that in both examples, the trolleys serve as much if not more as tourist draws for their respective cities as practical transportation within them. He probably intended by this to deride manned spaceflight as a public spectacle with little practical benefit, but one could also read his analogy as inadvertent support for space tourism — maybe manned spaceflight doesn’t serve a purely practical end, but like the trolleys, the enjoyment it provides (and the positive economic side-benefits this enjoyment generates) may be justification enough.

The unmanned probes have been the most successful ventures of NASA, and therein lay several simple truths. (1) Humans are neither designed nor intended to function in outer space,

Nor are we designed or intended to function at high altitudes or in arctic climates, yet millions of people fly every day, and millions more live in places like Alaska, northern Canada, and Siberia.

and (2) technology permits us to do all the exploration we need to at this point in time.

Does it? How do you judge? And how does this view anticipate future needs? And while “technology” (I assume he means robotic technology here) may permit us to perform remote-controlled exploration, how much broader and deeper could the knowledge obtained be if humans were on the scene? (Note that this point reflects a science über alles bias, as well.)

(3) Space probes are far less costly than space shuttles that have to be rebuilt from scratch every time they fly.

While he is right as to the “reusability” of Shuttle, this begs the question that Shuttle is the only way to do manned spaceflight.

(4) They are far less expensive.

Wow…robots are far less costly and far less expensive? How’d they manage that?

(5) No one gets killed.

And no one cares, either — I’d bet that the reason the robots exploring Mars have received so much attention (compared to, say, Ulysses) is the perceived possibility of humans one day going there in person. Besides, people get killed every second of every day doing things less worthwhile than exploring the Moon or Mars. “If you seek safety, it is on the shore.”

At this point, I’m sure there are those who want to speak poetically of the need to explore outer space by sending manned expeditions “because it is there” or on the chance that there is intelligent life “out there” with which we might come in contact.

But surely no one would ever talk about such mundane reasons as finding and exploiting new resources, creating new economic opportunities, or the civilizational growth that might result. Nope. Just the usual giggle-inducing stereotypes.

If it is intelligent, it already knows that the Earth runs red with the blood of its habitants every day as humans kill one another for political or religious reasons and we animals eat one another. Moreover, despite some lovely beaches and spectacular mountain ranges, large areas of the Earth are not the most hospitable places for the humans and other creatures that inhabit it.

Or in other words, intelligent life wouldn’t be like us. I’m actually surprised to see such cynical, self-hating, anti-human comments from a conservative writer — like patchouli, this sort of thing usually emanates from the environmentalist left.

And as for large areas of the Earth not being particularly hospitable to humans…perhaps we should abandon those places, too. It might be a tight squeeze, though, fitting six billion humans into the Rift Valley where we properly belong.

Tomatonator?

Robotic Tomato Harvester Ready For Space

?Labor requirements to grow and harvest the crops must be reduced through automation,? said Ling. ?Growing a salad crop, having something live in a space station, is very important for both nutritional and psychological reasons. At the same time, automation is needed to save production and harvesting time.?

The tomato harvester robot is able to locate and pick ripe tomatoes; the robot’s “eye” scans the tomato plant and determines the number and position of ripe fruit. Image processing algorithms created specifically for the robot are able to detect ripe fruit even if it is partially obscured by branches or leaves. Using this data, the four-fingered prosthetic hand locates a tomato, opens the fingers and takes hold of the fruit. The robot balances pulling, bending and torsion movements to detach the tasty treat.

The robot has been tested here on Earth; success rates of fruit sensing are running at 95% and fruit picking success is rated at 85%. This technology is also planned for use right here on Earth.

Blast From the Past

Aerojet is testing a Viking lander flight spare engine as part of the development of a new engine for the MSL rover mission.