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Selective Outrage

So, when James Hansen makes a stink about how NASA was supposedly “censoring” his views about global warming, it’s an intolerable abridgement of free, unbiased, and objective scientific inquiry. But when NASA refuses to publish one of its own scientists papers because it doesn’t fit the AGW narrative, well…where’s the outrage?

So Miskolczi re-derived the solution, this time using the proper boundary conditions for an atmosphere that is not infinite. His result included a new term, which acts as a negative feedback to counter the positive forcing. At low levels, the new term means a small difference … but as greenhouse gases rise, the negative feedback predominates, forcing values back down.

NASA refused to release the results. Miskolczi believes their motivation is simple. “Money”, he tells DailyTech. Research that contradicts the view of an impending crisis jeopardizes funding, not only for his own atmosphere-monitoring project, but all climate-change research. Currently, funding for climate research tops $5 billion per year.

Miskolczi resigned in protest, stating in his resignation letter, “Unfortunately my working relationship with my NASA supervisors eroded to a level that I am not able to tolerate. My idea of the freedom of science cannot coexist with the recent NASA practice of handling new climate change related scientific results.”

It doesn’t matter for this discussion whether Miskolczi is right or wrong…what matters is that the appearance of suppression of free scientific inquiry in this case is being ignored. Were NASA giving the cold shoulder to a paper which appeared to strengthen the pro-AGW case — that is, were the results of the research exactly the opposite — there would be no end to the howls of protest. But in fact, there is very little information on this in the usual news channels.

So…where is the outrage?

“How you gonna use it again?!?”

UK television show Top Gear turns a Reliant Robin into a space shuttle.

No, really.

“I thought the Robin as a good place to start because, er, it’s…pointy…at one end…”

Verne Launch

Well, this snuck up on me — the first ATV launch is scheduled for tomorrow night.

Taking Out the Trash

This looks like fun: US to Try to Shoot Down Spy Satellite

Known by its military designation US 193, the satellite was launched in December 2006. It lost power and its central computer failed almost immediately afterward, leaving it uncontrollable. It carried a sophisticated and secret imaging sensor.

Software associated with the Standard Missile 3 has been modified to enhance the chances of the missile’s sensors recognizing that the satellite is its target. The missile’s designed mission is to shoot down ballistic missiles, not satellites. Other officials said the missile’s maximum range, while a classified figure, is not great enough to hit a satellite operating in normal orbits.

“It’s a one-time deal,” Cartwright said when asked whether the modified Standard Missile 3 should be considered a new U.S. anti-satellite technology.

He said that if an initial shoot-down attempt fails, the military would have about two days to reassess and decide whether to take a second shot.

Beyond the novelty factor, I for one am not going to get worked up about this. Indeed, it makes sense to me to break up large space structures immediately prior to reentry to reduce the risk of large pieces of debris hitting land (and in this case, debris containing recoverable classified technology, which is probably the real reason for shooting at it). So long as they’re careful not to create new, long-lived orbital debris like the Chinese ASAT test last year did, and they seem to be working to avoid that.

As I recall, this isn’t really a new capability for the U.S. — while it uses a different missile in this case, back in the 1980s there was an ASAT test involving a missile fired from an aircraft as part of Star Wars R&D (no time right now to look up the details).

If nothing else, though, it will give the Archdruid something fresh and new to get exercised about, which ought to be entertaining. Especially when compared to how little attention he paid to the Chinese test.

UPDATE: Right on cue

It is clear to me that the Pentagon is using the falling satellite as an excuse to test anti-satellite (ASAT) weapons in order to perfect the technology that would give the U.S. the ability to knock out other countries satellites. The military has been itching for a long time for a good excuse to field test ASAT technology. They are using this incident as an excuse to put into the public’s mind that space weapons will be used to “protect” us. In fact these are offensive systems, part of the overall U.S. first-strike attack program now under development.

Consensus Authoritarianism

Ever wonder why so many people are skeptical about “global warming” catastrophism, and the schemes and policies hatched by the AGW crusaders to (ostensibly) deal with it?

Could it be that their desire to be technocratic tyrants is just a little too obvious?

In a new book, David Shearman and Joseph Wayne Smith take the appeal to experts somewhat further and argue that in order to deal with climate change we need to replace liberal democracy with an authoritarianism of scientific expertise. They write in a recent op-ed:

Liberal democracy is sweet and addictive and indeed in the most extreme case, the USA, unbridled individual liberty overwhelms many of the collective needs of the citizens. . .
There must be open minds to look critically at liberal democracy. Reform must involve the adoption of structures to act quickly regardless of some perceived liberties. . .
We are going to have to look how authoritarian decisions based on consensus science can be implemented to contain greenhouse emissions.

On their book page they write:

[T]he authors conclude that an authoritarian form of government is necessary, but this will be governance by experts and not by those who seek power.

“But our dictatorship will be a benevolent, scientific one! Trust us! How could it ever be anything else?” Uh-huh. Right. And this sweet and addictive “governance by experts” will work about as long as it takes for those who seek power to acquire credentials as experts. The notion that the power awarded these technocrats wouldn’t be exercised arbitrarily, well beyond the environment-related concerns used as justification for it, is foolish in the extreme. The limitations imposed on power in a liberal democracy are what prevent it from being used arbitrarily — removing the limitations, even for what may at the time appear to be good reasons, is asking for trouble.

These scientists should stick to running experiments and crunching numbers. They’re too hopelessly naive to ever be trusted with formulating public policy.

More from Shearman’s op-ed:

But the importance in the decision lies in the fact that China can do it by edict and close the factories. They don?t have to worry about loss of political donations or temporarily unemployed workers. They have made a judgment that their action favours the needs of Chinese society as a whole.

The needs of the many outweigh the interests of the few, in other words. Now where have I heard that line before…?

As one of the commenters to the op-ed points out, the failure dosn’t lie with liberal democracy, the failure lies with the inability of scientists to persuade the citizens of liberal democracies that the crisis they perceive actually exists, as a prerequisite for taking action to mitigate it. It should be no surprise that AGW crusaders would call for the abridgement of democracy in favor of an earth-friendly dictatorship, when they’ve already abandoned reasoned persuasion for “consensus science” appeals to authority, bullying tactics against nonbelievers, and the suppression of dissenting opinions from within their own ranks.

Challenger | Columbia

Challenger Columbia
Paul, David and I were having lunch in the cafeteria. Joe, one of those kids who’d been to Space Camp and was a true fanatic about the space program, came in and sat at our table, his face drained of color, in something of a daze. Obviously something had him upset, but we couldn’t imagine what — his attitude was so unlike Joe and so out of place that it didn’t seem quite real.

“What’s up?” one of us asked.

“Challenger,” he said, “it just exploded.”

I don’t think the words registered at first. I know I remember not having any idea what he was talking about — for all the hype about the Teacher in Space launch, I had been completely unaware that the launch was to be that morning.

“The Shuttle…Challenger…it just blew up. Didn’t you hear about it?”

Now that we knew what he meant, of course we didn’t believe him. Shuttles didn’t “blow up”, after all. There had been no announcement from the principal. No one else in the cafeteria seemed to be acting as if anything so shocking had happened. We thought he was pulling some sort of prank. But then again…Joe? Joke about something this important to him? What if he was serious…?

He managed to persuade us that he might not be joking. I can’t recall now how he said he had learned about it, but given the time and place (high school, 1986, pre-internet-accessibility, pre-cellphone-ubiquity), it was probably over the radio.

It happened that David, Paul and I had a programming class after lunch, taught by David’s father. I remembered that the computer lab had a television suspended from the ceiling in one corner of the room, and it dawned on me that we might be able to tune in the news on it. David’s father let us in when he heard Joe’s story, and in a few minutes we had the television tuned into the news. I don’t think I quite believed Joe’s story even after I first saw the now-iconic white arcs against the blue sky on the screen, since it wasn’t clear to me yet what I was looking at. But after a few minutes, after the broadcast networks had replayed the video of the explosion several times, it was undeniable that he had been telling the truth all along.

We didn’t even bother with class that day, we simply watched the news coverage throughout fifth period. I don’t remember now what we did in sixth period, if anything, but I am quite sure that the principal never made any announcements about the accident — something that strikes me as odd in hindsight, but then I can’t recall any other major event of that period of the Eighties being announced at school, either…this was one of those rare historical moments that I found out about well before I got home and turned on CNN.

Funny that at the time of the accident, it was only just beginning to dawn on us kids that the promises made for the Shuttle probably weren’t ever going to come to fruition. Spaceflight wasn’t, in fact, safe and routine, and nevermind cheap. The Shuttle was going to launch at something less than a flight a week. It wasn’t going to usher in the age of O’Neill colonies. It probably wasn’t even going to launch from California, given the ongoing problems with the launch site there. If you had told me then that twenty years later I would be working on the replacement for the Shuttle, I wouldn’t have believed it — first, because it would have surprised me that NASA wouldn’t already have developed something new by then, and second, because I was applying to liberal arts programs at the time, having been told by my career counselor at school that I needed to be an “Einstein in math” to be an engineer.

Two and a half years later, Eric, Eric, Mark, Marc, Ken, and I watched the Return to Flight launch live on a TV in the dorms at Michigan State. After a torrent of dark and tasteless jokes, I think we were all relieved that the launch was uneventful. After the launch (and after having learned the previous quarter that math was easy if I actually did the homework), I started to wonder if maybe I shouldn’t have been an engineer after all.

The phone rang.

I wasn’t happy at all. I had just arrived in Denver six days earlier, and this Saturday morning was the first opportunity I’d had to sleep in and get adjusted to the altitude and the time difference, and here someone was waking me up at a little after seven-thirty. It was my mother. Newsworthy things (like 9/11) seem to only happen when I am out of town, so I typically ask my parents to call and let me know if something important happens. I had a vague feeling that this must be one of those times.

“Are you watching TV?” she asked.

“No,” I mumbled, still half-asleep. “I was in bed. You know what time it is out here, right?”

“Well, you might want to turn it on.”

“What,” I asked, sure now that this was one of those ‘something newsworthy’ calls, “did they start the war?”

“No — the Space Shuttle blew up again.”

“Ahh, crap.”

I hung up with a promise to call her later, after finding out what had happened. I had an ominous feeling this time around, the nagging suspicion that I knew something about what had gone wrong. There was all that talk at Michoud last week…about the ET…something about the foam?

Luckily I had bought a small TV a couple of days earlier, so that I could watch the news concerning the approaching war. Sure enough, there on the screen was a unique yet eerily familiar set of debris contrails against a blue sky. This being 2003, however, I fired up the PC in between cellphone calls from and to friends, and started blogging.

And the next day, I elected to take down the handful of posts concerning what I knew of the foam and what I had gleaned from hallway conversations the week before (posts I could kick myself now for not having saved somewhere). Speculations on just how much foam had been shed from the bipod, whether the environment-related blowing agent change might have played a role in the foam coming loose, the sense from ET engineers tasked to perform a quick analysis that the Shuttle program wasn’t overly concerned with the observed foam shedding at the time, annoyance that NASA treated popcorning and other foam events as maintenance issues and had little interest in actually solving the root problem to save the money and time spent fixing tiles, etc. No one forced me to take down those posts, but my boss was happy that I had done so since by Monday morning we were under orders not to discuss the accident in public forums or with reporters who might call or “ambush” us.

Michoud was a busier-than-usual place by the time I got back from Denver in mid-May. All the parking spots within fifty yards of the building were now reserved for NASA people, where one used to be hard pressed to find the resident NASA representatives anywhere on site (excluding Jerry Smelser, who had an unnerving habit of popping out from behind hardware for an impromptu meet-and-greet with random employees when nobody in management even knew he was at the facility). They had actually hired a few new employees as staffing-up began for Return to Flight. And work was beginning on an effort to convert ET engineering from CADDS5 raster-scans to actual 3D models in CATIA to support RTF flight analyses (an upgrade that should have been done years earlier, in my opinion). I think the tanks on-site were still under guard at that time.

If you had told me then that five years later I would be working on the replacement for the Shuttle, and that it would be a capsule, and that it would be riding on a rehashed SRB, I wouldn’t have believed it. But then, it’s not like I’m all that great at predicting the future.

Early Soviet Fatalities?

It’s Pravda, so take it with a grain of salt:

Fun With Airliners

The Gimli Glider was finally retired this past week.

Not So Risky

Aw, darn. Better luck next time.

Not Featured at the Detroit Auto Show

A POS car: $1000

A thousand Ron Paul stickers: $145

Making yourself look like a saucer-eyed cult wacko to everyone you pass on the street? Priceless!